Estimating the generation interval for COVID-19 based on symptom onset data

作者: Ganyani Tapiwa , Kremer Cécile , Chen Dongxuan , Torneri Andrea , Faes Christel

DOI: 10.1101/2020.03.05.20031815

关键词: StatisticsIncubation periodSerial intervalMathematicsOutbreakTransmission networkCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Interval distributionSymptom onset

摘要: … We also estimated R 0 , solely to illustrate … interval as a proxy for the generation interval [7]. Whereas the impact was limited for our analyses, estimates based on the generation interval …

参考文章(16)
George Casella, Christian P. Robert, Monte Carlo Statistical Methods ,(1999)
Dennis E. te Beest, Jacco Wallinga, Tjibbe Donker, Michiel van Boven, Estimating the generation interval of influenza A (H1N1) in a range of social settings. Epidemiology. ,vol. 24, pp. 244- 250 ,(2013) , 10.1097/EDE.0B013E31827F50E8
David M. Bell, , Public Health Interventions and SARS Spread, 2003 Emerging Infectious Diseases. ,vol. 10, pp. 1900- 1906 ,(2004) , 10.3201/EID1011.040729
Jacco Wallinga, Peter Teunis, Different Epidemic Curves for Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Reveal Similar Impacts of Control Measures American Journal of Epidemiology. ,vol. 160, pp. 509- 516 ,(2004) , 10.1093/AJE/KWH255
J Wallinga, M Lipsitch, How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers. Proceedings of The Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. ,vol. 274, pp. 599- 604 ,(2007) , 10.1098/RSPB.2006.3754
N. Hens, L. Calatayud, S. Kurkela, T. Tamme, J. Wallinga, Robust Reconstruction and Analysis of Outbreak Data: Influenza A(H1N1)v Transmission in a School-based Population American Journal of Epidemiology. ,vol. 176, pp. 196- 203 ,(2012) , 10.1093/AJE/KWS006
Jacob Wolfowitz, A. M. Mood, Introduction to the Theory of Statistics. American Mathematical Monthly. ,vol. 58, pp. 352- ,(1951) , 10.2307/2307742
Tom Britton, Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba, Estimation in emerging epidemics: biases and remedies. Journal of the Royal Society Interface. ,vol. 16, pp. 20180670- ,(2019) , 10.1098/RSIF.2018.0670
Handbook of Infectious Disease Data Analysis Chapman & Hall/CRC handbooks of modern statistical methods. ,(2019) , 10.1201/9781315222912
Haojie Zhong, Weilin Zeng, Jianfeng He, Tie Song, Xiaohua Tan, Aiping Deng, Wenjun Ma, Jing Lu, Lifeng Lin, Qiong Huang, Jiansen Li, Jianpeng Xiao, Huihong Deng, Siqing Zeng, Tao Liu, Min Kang, Donghua Wan, Guanhao He, Jianxiong Hu, Zhihua Zhu, Zuhua Rong, Transmission Dynamics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) bioRxiv. ,(2020) , 10.1101/2020.01.25.919787