A perspective on food policies evolution and poverty in the Indian Republic (1950-2001)

摘要: This paper analyses the rural food sector of Indian Republic in an intertemporal growth context. A model is developed which includes government's conflict between its poverty reducing attempts through public distribution food, subsidized issue and support prices long term developmental goals. The ARDL cointegration procedure for mixed order dynamic processes identifies major determinants head count period, 1953-2000. run elasticity estimates clearly show real consumer subsidised price producer dominate quantity effects per capita on poverty. Development expenditure measures productivity demographic supply are also found to be important In contrast, do not have easily identifiable influences short equilibrating adjustments predicts that poverty, at 27.6% 2000 below trend, will increase 29.1 % 30.3% 2001. significant cause projected sizeable rice (relative CPI agricultural workers) from 1999 2000. argues that, while improvements important, staples, wheat key determmants trends However, because these relative complicated effects, authorities should manipulate foodgrain achieve Pricing policies designed desired resource allocation.