Modeling Wildfire Smoke Pollution by Integrating Land Use Regression and Remote Sensing Data: Regional Multi-Temporal Estimates for Public Health and Exposure Models

作者: Mojgan Mirzaei , Stefania Bertazzon , Isabelle Couloigner

DOI: 10.3390/ATMOS9090335

关键词: UnivariateRegressionEnvironmental scienceMultivariate statisticsPhysical geographySmokePollutantPollutionDisease clusterRural area

摘要: To understand the health effects of wildfire smoke, it is important to accurately assess smoke exposure over space and time. Particulate matter (PM) a predominant pollutant in smoke. In this study, we develop land-use regression (LUR) models investigate impact that cluster wildfires northwest USA had on level PM southern Alberta (Canada), summer 2015. Univariate aerosol optical depth (AOD) multivariate AOD-LUR were used estimate PM2.5 urban rural areas. For epidemiological studies, also distinguish between wildfire-related originating from other sources. We therefore subdivided study period into three sub-periods: (1) Pre-fire, (2) during-fire, (3) post-fire. then developed separate for each sub-period. With approach, able identify different predictors significantly associated with smoke-related verses origin. Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) was evaluate models’ performance. Our results indicate model performance are highly related PM2.5, pollution source. The predictive ability both uni- multi-variate higher during-fire than pre- post-fire periods.

参考文章(57)
Mihye Lee, Itai Kloog, Alexandra Chudnovsky, Alexei Lyapustin, Yujie Wang, Steven Melly, Brent Coull, Petros Koutrakis, Joel Schwartz, Spatiotemporal prediction of fine particulate matter using high-resolution satellite images in the Southeastern US 2003-2011. Journal of Exposure Science and Environmental Epidemiology. ,vol. 26, pp. 377- 384 ,(2016) , 10.1038/JES.2015.41
Stefania Bertazzon, Markey Johnson, Kristin Eccles, Gilaad G. Kaplan, Accounting for spatial effects in land use regression for urban air pollution modeling Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology. ,vol. 14, pp. 9- 21 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.SSTE.2015.06.002
Mateus Habermann, Monica Billger, Marie Haeger-Eugensson, Land use Regression as Method to Model Air Pollution. Previous Results for Gothenburg/Sweden☆ Procedia Engineering. ,vol. 115, pp. 21- 28 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.PROENG.2015.07.350
Shawn P. Urbanski, Wei Min Hao, Stephen Baker, Chapter 4 Chemical Composition of Wildland Fire Emissions Wildland Fires and Air Pollution. ,vol. 8, pp. 79- 107 ,(2008) , 10.1016/S1474-8177(08)00004-1
Geoffrey Morgan, Vicky Sheppeard, Behnoosh Khalaj, Aarthi Ayyar, Doug Lincoln, Bin Jalaludin, John Beard, Stephen Corbett, Thomas Lumley, Effects of bushfire smoke on daily mortality and hospital admissions in Sydney, Australia. Epidemiology. ,vol. 21, pp. 47- 55 ,(2010) , 10.1097/EDE.0B013E3181C15D5A
Keith D. Hutchison, Shazia J. Faruqui, Solar Smith, Improving correlations between MODIS aerosol optical thickness and ground-based PM2.5 observations through 3D spatial analyses Atmospheric Environment. ,vol. 42, pp. 530- 543 ,(2008) , 10.1016/J.ATMOSENV.2007.09.050
Itai Kloog, Petros Koutrakis, Brent A. Coull, Hyung Joo Lee, Joel Schwartz, Assessing temporally and spatially resolved PM2.5 exposures for epidemiological studies using satellite aerosol optical depth measurements Atmospheric Environment. ,vol. 45, pp. 6267- 6275 ,(2011) , 10.1016/J.ATMOSENV.2011.08.066
Aaron van Donkelaar, Randall V. Martin, Rokjin J. Park, Estimating ground-level PM2.5using aerosol optical depth determined from satellite remote sensing Journal of Geophysical Research. ,vol. 111, ,(2006) , 10.1029/2005JD006996
Changqing Lin, Ying Li, Zibing Yuan, Alexis KH Lau, Chengcai Li, Jimmy CH Fung, None, Using satellite remote sensing data to estimate the high-resolution distribution of ground-level PM2.5 Remote Sensing of Environment. ,vol. 156, pp. 117- 128 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.RSE.2014.09.015
Itai Kloog, Alexandra A. Chudnovsky, Allan C. Just, Francesco Nordio, Petros Koutrakis, Brent A. Coull, Alexei Lyapustin, Yujie Wang, Joel Schwartz, A New Hybrid Spatio-Temporal Model For Estimating Daily Multi-Year PM2.5 Concentrations Across Northeastern USA Using High Resolution Aerosol Optical Depth Data. Atmospheric Environment. ,vol. 95, pp. 581- 590 ,(2014) , 10.1016/J.ATMOSENV.2014.07.014