作者: Jane Golley , Rodney Tyers
DOI:
关键词: Immigration 、 Economics 、 Per capita income 、 China 、 Reproductive age 、 Population 、 Demography 、 Slow growth 、 Sex ratio 、 Fertility
摘要: Chinese GDP growth faces rising handicaps that include the slowdown and eventual contraction of its labour force, a complication which is sex ratio at birth. The undesirable consequences resulting gender imbalance excessive saving as families with boys compete to match their sons scarce girls, trafficking in women disaffection crime amongst low-skill male population. These are reviewed analysed using dynamic model both economic demographic behaviour. results show proportion unmatched males reproductive age could be high one four by 2030, numbers too large for female immigration solution. Policies rebalance birth will take decades reduce any associated allowance higher fertility would slow real per capita income. Yet suggest beneficial effects reduced outweigh losses from