On the absurdity of rapid urbanization: Spatio-temporal analysis of land-use changes in Morogoro, Tanzania

摘要: Abstract This study questions the frequent overemphasis on population growth aspects of African urbanization with little consideration spatial extent by analyzing influence expansion Morogoro urban municipality (MUM) in Tanzania between 2000 and 2016. Shannon's Entropy, a random forest supervised classifier, analysis were adopted to analyze Multi-temporal Landsat images obtained through Google Earth Engine platform quantify temporal distribution pattern land-use change. Findings from this research show that entropy values for MUM increased 0.522 2000, 0.761 2007, 0.901 2016 land cover recording considerable consistent increase. Similarly, municipality's annual rate change decreased 4.17% 1967 3.81% 2016, is estimated rise 4.54% 2030 corresponding 25,262 622,000 From results, not commensurate expansion, as more than twice growth. An important contribution relates limited attention faster compared cities; situation inconsistent sustainable resilient futures. It recommended municipal authorities should consider initiatives (e.g., environmental planning models) reverse current trend order improve health, density, sustainability resilience environment.