Output trends and Okun's law

作者: Gert Schnabel

DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.846324

关键词: SimplicityFirst-difference estimatorSample (statistics)Structural unemploymentEconomicsOkun's lawEconometrics

摘要: This paper estimates trend growth rates for a sample of industrial countries by applying Okun's law in first differences. Despite the simplicity approach and restrictive assumptions, method typically yields reasonable results when shifts Okun coefficients changes structural unemployment are allowed for. Particular caution is required using estimating output gaps.

参考文章(15)
Clifford L. F. Attfield, Brian Silverstone, Okun's Coefficient: A Comment The Review of Economics and Statistics. ,vol. 69, pp. 326- 329 ,(1997) , 10.1162/003465397556692
Clifford L.F. Attfield, Brian Silverstone, Okun's law, cointegration and gap variables* Journal of Macroeconomics. ,vol. 20, pp. 625- 637 ,(1998) , 10.1016/S0164-0704(98)00076-7
Koichi Hamada, Yoshio Kurosaka, The relationship between production and unemployment in Japan European Economic Review. ,vol. 25, pp. 71- 94 ,(1984) , 10.1016/0014-2921(84)90073-4
Roger T Kaufman, An international comparison of Okun's laws Journal of Comparative Economics. ,vol. 12, pp. 182- 203 ,(1988) , 10.1016/0147-5967(88)90002-9
Anthonie Knoester, Okun’s law revisited Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv. ,vol. 122, pp. 657- 666 ,(1986) , 10.1007/BF02707853
Jim Lee, The robustness of Okun's law: Evidence from OECD countries Journal of Macroeconomics. ,vol. 22, pp. 331- 356 ,(2000) , 10.1016/S0164-0704(00)00135-X
Imad A. Moosa, A Cross-Country Comparison of Okun's Coefficient Journal of Comparative Economics. ,vol. 24, pp. 335- 356 ,(1997) , 10.1006/JCEC.1997.1433
Thomas I. Palley, Okun's Law and the asymmetric and changing cyclical behaviour of the USA economy International Review of Applied Economics. ,vol. 7, pp. 144- 162 ,(1993) , 10.1080/758530144