Sensitivity of the multiannual thermal dynamics of a deep pre-alpine lake to climatic change

作者: Giulia Valerio , Marco Pilotti , Stefano Barontini , Barbara Leoni

DOI: 10.1002/HYP.10183

关键词: WatershedGlacierInterflowEnvironmental sciencePeriod (geology)Effects of global warmingWater columnClimate change scenarioClimate changeHydrology

摘要: The study of the multiannual thermal dynamics Lake Iseo, a deep lake in Italian pre-alpine area, is presented. Interflow was found to be dominant river entrance mode, suggesting future susceptibility structure overall effects climate change expected upstream alpine watershed. A model employed results long-term hydrologic simulate scenario on lake's evolution for period 2012–2050. predicts an average increase water temperature 0.012 °C/year and reinforced Schmidt stability column winter up 800 J/m2. Both these may further hinder circulation process, which vital oxygenation water. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

参考文章(34)
Jörg Imberger, John C. Patterson, A DYNAMIC RESERVOIR SIMULATION MODEL - DYRESM: 5 Transport Models/Inland & Coastal Waters#R##N#Proceedings of a Symposium on Predictive Ability. pp. 310- 361 ,(1981) , 10.1016/B978-0-12-258152-6.50014-2
Marjorie Perroud, Stéphane Goyette, Impacts of warmer climate on Lake Geneva water-temperature profiles Boreal Environment Research. ,vol. 15, pp. 255- 278 ,(2010)
A. Paster, D. Bolster, D. A. Benson, Particle tracking and the diffusion‐reaction equation Water Resources Research. ,vol. 49, pp. 1- 6 ,(2013) , 10.1029/2012WR012444
Thorsten Blenckner, Rita Adrian, Lauri Arvola, Marko Järvinen, Peeter Nõges, Tiina Nõges, Kurt Pettersson, Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer, The Impact of climate change on lakes in Northern Europe Springer, Dordrecht. pp. 339- 358 ,(2010) , 10.1007/978-90-481-2945-4_18
Marco Pilotti, Giulia Valerio, Barbara Leoni, Data set for hydrodynamic lake model calibration: A deep prealpine case Water Resources Research. ,vol. 49, pp. 7159- 7163 ,(2013) , 10.1002/WRCR.20506
Walter AMBROSETTI, Luigi BARBANTI, Evolution towards meromixis of Lake Iseo (Northern Italy) as revealed by its stability trend Journal of Limnology. ,vol. 64, pp. 1- 11 ,(2005) , 10.4081/JLIMNOL.2005.1
Andreas Matzinger, Martin Schmid, Elizabeta Veljanoska-Sarafiloska, Suzana Patceva, Dafina Guseska, Bernd Wagner, Beat Müller, Michael Sturm, Alfred Wüest, Eutrophication of ancient Lake Ohrid: Global warming amplifies detrimental effects of increased nutrient inputs Limnology and Oceanography. ,vol. 52, pp. 338- 353 ,(2007) , 10.4319/LO.2007.52.1.0338
M. T. Mangan, Decompression experiments identify kinetic controls on explosive silicic eruptions Geophysical Research Letters. ,vol. 31, pp. 1- 8605 ,(2004) , 10.1029/2004GL019509
Dennis Trolle, David P. Hamilton, Conrad A. Pilditch, Ian C. Duggan, Erik Jeppesen, Predicting the effects of climate change on trophic status of three morphologically varying lakes Environmental Modelling and Software. ,vol. 26, pp. 354- 370 ,(2011) , 10.1016/J.ENVSOFT.2010.08.009