What is responsible for the strong observed asymmetry in teleconnections between El Niño and La Niña?

作者: Tao Zhang , Judith Perlwitz , Martin P. Hoerling

DOI: 10.1002/2013GL058964

关键词: Magnitude (mathematics)TroposphereEnvironmental scienceLa NiñaAsymmetryForcing (mathematics)Multivariate ENSO indexClimatologySea surface temperatureTeleconnectionAtmospheric sciences

摘要: A large asymmetric component (El Nino + La Nina) of El Nino–Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-related teleconnections over North America is found during 1984–2009 that comparable in strength to the commonly studied symmetric Nino − La Nina). Climate reforecasts spanning this period are diagnosed order understand processes responsible for observed asymmetry. It confirmed an indeed a fundamental property atmospheric responses recent ENSO forcing. Each and every composite 16-member reforecast ensemble has appreciable asymmetry tropical Pacific rainfall, upper tropospheric Pacific-North American circulation patterns, contiguous U.S. surface temperatures. There considerable sampling variability magnitude among individual composites. We argue therefore true sea temperature boundary-forced signal likely composed having greater than its component, though latter important how affects climate.

参考文章(18)
Suranjana Saha, Shrinivas Moorthi, Hua-Lu Pan, Xingren Wu, Jiande Wang, Sudhir Nadiga, Patrick Tripp, Robert Kistler, John Woollen, David Behringer, Haixia Liu, Diane Stokes, Robert Grumbine, George Gayno, Jun Wang, Yu-Tai Hou, Hui-ya Chuang, Hann-Ming H. Juang, Joe Sela, Mark Iredell, Russ Treadon, Daryl Kleist, Paul Van Delst, Dennis Keyser, John Derber, Michael Ek, Jesse Meng, Helin Wei, Rongqian Yang, Stephen Lord, Huug van den Dool, Arun Kumar, Wanqiu Wang, Craig Long, Muthuvel Chelliah, Yan Xue, Boyin Huang, Jae-Kyung Schemm, Wesley Ebisuzaki, Roger Lin, Pingping Xie, Mingyue Chen, Shuntai Zhou, Wayne Higgins, Cheng-Zhi Zou, Quanhua Liu, Yong Chen, Yong Han, Lidia Cucurull, Richard W. Reynolds, Glenn Rutledge, Mitch Goldberg, The NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. ,vol. 91, pp. 1015- 1057 ,(2010) , 10.1175/2010BAMS3001.1
Tao Zhang, Martin P. Hoerling, Judith Perlwitz, De-Zheng Sun, Donald Murray, Physics of U.S. Surface Temperature Response to ENSO Journal of Climate. ,vol. 24, pp. 4874- 4887 ,(2011) , 10.1175/2011JCLI3944.1
NAA Rayner, De E Parker, EB Horton, Chris K Folland, Lisa V Alexander, DP Rowell, Elizabeth C Kent, A Kaplan, Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century Journal of Geophysical Research. ,vol. 108, pp. 4407- ,(2003) , 10.1029/2002JD002670
Adam Hugh Monahan, Aiguo Dai, The Spatial and Temporal Structure of ENSO Nonlinearity Journal of Climate. ,vol. 17, pp. 3026- 3036 ,(2004) , 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<3026:TSATSO>2.0.CO;2
Suranjana Saha, Shrinivas Moorthi, Xingren Wu, Jiande Wang, Sudhir Nadiga, Patrick Tripp, David Behringer, Yu-Tai Hou, Hui-ya Chuang, Mark Iredell, Michael Ek, Jesse Meng, Rongqian Yang, Malaquías Peña Mendez, Huug van den Dool, Qin Zhang, Wanqiu Wang, Mingyue Chen, Emily Becker, The NCEP climate forecast system version 2 Journal of Climate. ,vol. 27, pp. 2185- 2208 ,(2014) , 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00823.1
Aiming Wu, William W. Hsieh, Amir Shabbar, The Nonlinear Patterns of North American Winter Temperature and Precipitation Associated with ENSO Journal of Climate. ,vol. 18, pp. 1736- 1752 ,(2005) , 10.1175/JCLI3372.1
X. Quan, M. Hoerling, J. Whitaker, G. Bates, T. Xu, Diagnosing Sources of U.S. Seasonal Forecast Skill Journal of Climate. ,vol. 19, pp. 3279- 3293 ,(2006) , 10.1175/JCLI3789.1
Martin P. Hoerling, Arun Kumar, Min Zhong, El Niño, La Niña, and the Nonlinearity of Their Teleconnections Journal of Climate. ,vol. 10, pp. 1769- 1786 ,(1997) , 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<1769:ENOLNA>2.0.CO;2
A. Hannachi, D. Stephenson, K. Sperber, Probability-based methods for quantifying nonlinearity in the ENSO Climate Dynamics. ,vol. 20, pp. 241- 256 ,(2003) , 10.1007/S00382-002-0263-7