A sequential approach to integrated energy modeling in South Africa

摘要: Abstract We develop a sequential approach to link bottom-up energy sector model detailed dynamic general equilibrium of South Africa. The is designed simultaneously address the shortcomings and maintain attractive features models. It also reflects common country-level planning processes. illustrate capabilities this integrated by analyzing implications (i) carbon tax, (ii) liberalization import supply restrictions in order exploit regional hydropower potential, (iii) combined policy where both taxes are pursued. For scenario, our results suggest substantial emissions reductions relative Baseline at essentially no cost economic growth but about one percent reduction employment. conclude that strategy, anchored hydropower, represents potentially inexpensive decarbonizing African economy. strategy has political economy attractions reduces burden adjustment politically sensitive sectors.