A Theory for El Niño and the Southern Oscillation

作者: M. A. CANE , S. E. ZEBIAK

DOI: 10.1126/SCIENCE.228.4703.1085

关键词: ClimatologyCommon spatial patternUpwellingPhysical oceanographyOceanographyOcean dynamicsMadden–Julian oscillationSea surface temperatureGeologyAtmospheric circulationOscillation

摘要: A coupled atmosphere-ocean model is presented for El Nino and the Southern Oscillation that reproduces its major features, including recurrence at irregular intervals. The interannual Nino-Southern cycle maintained by deterministic interactions in tropical Pacific region. Ocean dynamics alter sea-surface temperature, changing atmospheric heating; resulting changes surface wind ocean dynamics. Annually varying mean conditions largely determine spatial pattern temporal evolution of events.

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