Statistical modelling of the population dynamics of a raptor community in a semi-desert environment

作者: Oliver Kruger , Richard Liversidge , Jan Lindstrom

DOI: 10.1046/J.1365-2656.2002.00626.X

关键词: GuildDelayed density dependenceBiologyEcologyAbundance (ecology)Density dependencePopulation growthBiomass (ecology)Interspecific competitionPopulation

摘要: Summary 1 We performed an extensive statistical modelling study on the population fluctuations and growth rates of 15 raptor species in Kalahari desert South Africa. 2 The correlation pattern between rainfall abundance changed systematically with body weight diet type. The heavier raptors feeding larger prey-items had lower correlations than lighter small prey-items. Whereas were more affected by immediate rainfall, large previous year. 3 Population abundances explained most parsimoniously direct delayed density dependence during current breeding season. Interspecific competition was never a predictor variable. Population best described fed dependence. 4 Population always dependence. strength positively correlated reproduction rate, due mainly to Falconiform having higher Accipitrid species. 5 Shifting from guild level, we found that biomass shares guilds did not vary significantly over time, supporting hypothesis constancy.

参考文章(71)
David Lambert Lack, Population Studies of Birds ,(1966)
Mark D. Pagel, Paul H. Harvey, The comparative method in evolutionary biology ,(1991)
L. C. Birch, H. G. Andrewartha, The distribution and abundance of animals ,(1974)
Stuart Keith, Leslie Brown, Emil K. Urban, Kenneth B. Newman, The Birds of Africa ,(1982)
David Lambert Lack, The natural regulation of animal numbers ,(1954)
Josep Del Hoyo, Josep Del Hoyo, Andrew Elliott, Jordi Sargatal, None, Handbook of the Birds of the World ,(2010)
Herwig Leirs, Nils Chr. Stenseth, James D. Nichols, James E. Hines, Ron Verhagen, Walter Verheyen, Stochastic seasonality and nonlinear density-dependent factors regulate population size in an African rodent. Nature. ,vol. 389, pp. 176- 180 ,(1997) , 10.1038/38271
M.C. Forchhammer, N.C. Stenseth, E. Post, R. Landvatn, Population dynamics of Norwegian red deer: density-dependence and climatic variation. Proceedings of The Royal Society B: Biological Sciences. ,vol. 265, pp. 341- 350 ,(1998) , 10.1098/RSPB.1998.0301
Stephen Ellner, Peter Turchin, CHAOS IN A NOISY WORLD: NEW METHODS AND EVIDENCE FROM TIME-SERIES ANALYSIS The American Naturalist. ,vol. 145, pp. 343- 375 ,(1995) , 10.1086/285744
CLIFFORD M. HURVICH, CHIH-LING TSAI, Regression and time series model selection in small samples Biometrika. ,vol. 76, pp. 297- 307 ,(1989) , 10.1093/BIOMET/76.2.297