Probability matching and strategy availability.

作者: Derek J. Koehler , Greta James

DOI: 10.3758/MC.38.6.667

关键词: Base (topology)Alternative strategyPsychologyDeliberationMatching (statistics)Artificial intelligenceSequential choiceSocial psychologyProbability matching

摘要: Findings from two experiments indicate that probability matching in sequential choice arises an asymmetry strategy availability: The comes readily to mind, whereas a superior alternative strategy, maximizing, does not. First, compared with the minority who spontaneously engage majority of participants endorse maximizing as direct comparison when both strategies are described. Second, is brought their attention, more subsequently maximizing. Third, matchers likely than maximizers base decisions other tasks on initial intuitions, suggesting they inclined use mind quickly. These results substantial subset victims “underthinking” rather “overthinking”: They fail sufficient deliberation generate so mind.

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