作者: Begoña González , Antonio Pulido , Miguel Martínez , Gabriel Winter , None
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-11541-2_32
关键词: Robust design optimization 、 Econometrics 、 Demand forecasting 、 Estimation 、 High probability 、 Population 、 Electricity demand 、 Order (exchange) 、 Geography 、 Gross domestic product 、 Physical geography
摘要: Historical data of electricity demand in La Palma island (Spain) were collected and estimates conducted by different organizations sought. Some factors that could affect these studied its predictions the next years looked for. The idea was to use as explanatory variables order predict values years. Moreover, with aim minimizing limitation predicting future based only on relationships between occurred past, it has been considered annual forecast for various scenarios, taking into account, each them, variations variables. All goal estimate band year includes real high probability. This provided a prediction model takes account population gross domestic product. Results their graphical representation along other found are presented. A similar approach carried out peak powers.