Estimation of the Electricity Demand of La Palma Island (Spain)

作者: Begoña González , Antonio Pulido , Miguel Martínez , Gabriel Winter , None

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-11541-2_32

关键词: Robust design optimizationEconometricsDemand forecastingEstimationHigh probabilityPopulationElectricity demandOrder (exchange)GeographyGross domestic productPhysical geography

摘要: Historical data of electricity demand in La Palma island (Spain) were collected and estimates conducted by different organizations sought. Some factors that could affect these studied its predictions the next years looked for. The idea was to use as explanatory variables order predict values years. Moreover, with aim minimizing limitation predicting future based only on relationships between occurred past, it has been considered annual forecast for various scenarios, taking into account, each them, variations variables. All goal estimate band year includes real high probability. This provided a prediction model takes account population gross domestic product. Results their graphical representation along other found are presented. A similar approach carried out peak powers.

参考文章(3)
Hans-Georg Beyer, Bernhard Sendhoff, Robust Optimization - A Comprehensive Survey Computer Methods in Applied Mechanics and Engineering. ,vol. 196, pp. 3190- 3218 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.CMA.2007.03.003
G. Winter, B. Galvan, S. Alonso, B. Gonzalez, J.I. Jimenez, D. Greiner, A Flexible Evolutionary Agent: cooperation and competition among real-coded evolutionary operators soft computing. ,vol. 9, pp. 299- 323 ,(2005) , 10.1007/S00500-004-0381-8
L Ghods, M Kalantar, Different Methods of Long-Term Electric Load Demand Forecasting a Comprehensive Review iranian journal of electrical and electronic engineering. ,vol. 7, pp. 249- 259 ,(2011)