Training trees on tails with applications to portfolio choice

作者: Guillaume Coqueret , Tony Guida

DOI: 10.1007/S10479-020-03539-2

关键词:

摘要: In this article, we investigate the impact of truncating training data when fitting regression trees. We argue that times can be curtailed by reducing sample without any loss in out-of-sample accuracy as long prediction model has been trained on tails dependent variable, is, ‘average’ observations have discarded from sample. Filtering instances an features are selected to yield splits and help reduce overfitting favoring predictors with monotonous impacts variable. test technique exercise portfolio selection which shows its benefits. The implications our results decisive for time-consuming tasks such hyperparameter tuning validation.

参考文章(51)
Michel Ballings, Dirk Van den Poel, Nathalie Hespeels, Ruben Gryp, Evaluating multiple classifiers for stock price direction prediction Expert Systems With Applications. ,vol. 42, pp. 7046- 7056 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.ESWA.2015.05.013
Robert Tibshirani, Trevor Hastie, Jerome H. Friedman, The Elements of Statistical Learning ,(2001)
Richard A Olshen, Charles J Stone, Leo Breiman, Jerome H Friedman, Classification and regression trees ,(1983)
Eugene F. Fama, Kenneth R. French, International Tests of a Five-Factor Asset Pricing Model Social Science Research Network. ,(2015) , 10.2139/SSRN.2622782
Eero Pätäri, Timo Leivo, A CLOSER LOOK AT VALUE PREMIUM: LITERATURE REVIEW AND SYNTHESIS Journal of Economic Surveys. ,vol. 31, pp. 79- 168 ,(2017) , 10.1111/JOES.12133
Amit Goyal, Empirical cross-sectional asset pricing: a survey Financial Markets and Portfolio Management. ,vol. 26, pp. 3- 38 ,(2012) , 10.1007/S11408-011-0177-7
Özden Gür Ali, Kübra Yaman, Selecting rows and columns for training support vector regression models with large retail datasets European Journal of Operational Research. ,vol. 226, pp. 471- 480 ,(2013) , 10.1016/J.EJOR.2012.11.013
Jigar Patel, Sahil Shah, Priyank Thakkar, K Kotecha, Predicting stock and stock price index movement using Trend Deterministic Data Preparation and machine learning techniques Expert Systems With Applications. ,vol. 42, pp. 259- 268 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.ESWA.2014.07.040
P.A. Chou, Optimal partitioning for classification and regression trees IEEE Transactions on Pattern Analysis and Machine Intelligence. ,vol. 13, pp. 340- 354 ,(1991) , 10.1109/34.88569