Simple Theoretical Models and Population Predictions

作者: Alan A. Berryman , Mikael Munster-Swendsen

DOI: 10.1007/978-94-011-0962-8_19

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摘要: Using census data of spruce needleminer populations and their natural enemies from one stand Norway trees to estimate the parameters a complex simulation model two simple theoretical models, we predict abundance in three other stands compare predictions with data. The models were as good forecasting population numbers year ahead. reason may be that capture dominant structure dynamic system an unbiased way.

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