State and Local Population Projections: Methodology and Analysis

摘要: 1. Rationale, Terminology, Scope. 2. Fundamentals of Population Analysis. 3. Overview the Cohort-Component Method. 4. Mortality. 5. Fertility. 6. Migration. 7. Implementing 8. Trend Extrapolation Methods. 9. Structural Models I: Economic-Demographic. 10. II: Urban Systems. 11. Special Adjustments. 12. Evaluating Projections. 13. Forecast Accuracy and Bias. 14. A Practical Guide to Small Area 15. New Directions in Projection Research. Glossary.