Global sea level rise scenarios adapted to the Finnish coast
作者： Milla M. Johansson , Hilkka Pellikka , Kimmo K. Kahma , Kimmo Ruosteenoja
DOI: 10.1016/J.JMARSYS.2012.08.007
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摘要: Abstract We calculate scenarios for the mean sea level on Finnish coast by combining land uplift, wind-induced changes in local level, and large-scale rise due to ocean density circulation melting of land-based ice. The were estimated utilising their correlation with zonal geostrophic wind, which explains 84–89% observed interannual variability coast. Future based wind projections from nine global models. Land uplift rates are 4.1–9.9 mm/yr, determined observations after filtering out effect. A 26–155 cm range up 2100 was obtained several recently published scenarios. This is geographically unevenly distributed, it be only 24–126 cm. Relative change Gulf Finland 2000–2100 projected + 29 cm (− 22 + 92 cm). − 5 cm (− 66 + 65 cm) Bothnian Sea, − 27 cm (− 72 + 28 cm) Bay, where stronger.
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