Interacting effects of change in climate, human population, land use, and water use on biodiversity and ecosystem services

作者: Bodil Elmhagen , Georgia Destouni , Anders Angerbjörn , Sara Borgström , Emily Boyd

DOI: 10.5751/ES-07145-200123

关键词:

摘要: Human population growth and resource use, mediated by changes in climate, land water increasingly impact biodiversity ecosystem services provision. However, impacts of these drivers on are rarely analyzed simultaneously remain largely unknown. An emerging question is how science can improve the understanding change service delivery potential feedback mechanisms adaptive governance. We past future south-central Sweden. used analysis to identify main research challenges outline important tasks. Since 19th century, our study area has experienced substantial interlinked changes; a 1.6°C temperature increase, rapid growth, urbanization, massive use use. Considerable also projected until mid-21st century. little known about so far, this turn hampers projections such effects. Therefore, we urge scientists explore interdisciplinary approaches designed investigate multiple drivers, underlying mechanisms, interactions over time, including assessment matching-scale data from several disciplines. Such perspective needed for contribute governance constantly improving linked complexities their impacts.

参考文章(56)
Per Olsson, Örjan Bodin, Carl Folke, Building Transformative Capacity for Ecosystem Stewardship in Social–Ecological Systems Springer Berlin Heidelberg. pp. 263- 285 ,(2010) , 10.1007/978-3-642-12194-4_13
Richard Ottvall, Johan Elmberg, Lars Edenius, Martin Green, Åke Lindström, Tomas Pärt, Martin Tjernberg, Henri Engström, Niclas Holmqvist, Population trends for Swedish breeding birds Ornis Svecica. ,vol. 19, pp. 117- 192 ,(2009) , 10.34080/OS.V19.22652
Marianne Pasanen Mortensen, Anthropogenic impact on predator guilds and ecosystem processes : Apex predator extinctions, land use and climate change Department of Zoology, Stockholm University. ,(2014)
A. Darracq, F. Greffe, F. Hannerz, G. Destouni, V. Cvetkovic, Nutrient transport scenarios in a changing Stockholm and Mälaren valley region, Sweden. Water Science and Technology. ,vol. 51, pp. 31- 38 ,(2005) , 10.2166/WST.2005.0572
Amélie Darracq, Georg Lindgren, Georgia Destouni, Long-term development of phosphorus and nitrogen loads through the subsurface and surface water systems of drainage basins Global Biogeochemical Cycles. ,vol. 22, pp. n/a- n/a ,(2008) , 10.1029/2007GB003022
Sara Borgström, Urban shades of green : Current patterns and future prospects of nature conservation in urban landscapes Department of Systems Ecology, Stockholm University. ,(2011)