Risk communication: against the gods or against all odds?: problems and prospects of accounting for black swans

摘要: Recent academic and policy preoccupations with ‘Black Swans’ underscore the predicament of capturing communicating risk events when information is absent, partial, incomplete or contingent. In this article we wish to articulate some key thematic theoretical points concurrence around which practitioner interests in communication under conditions ‘high uncertainty’ intersect. We outline historical context recent debate concerning limits ‘risk thinking’ spurred by Black Swans, particular how calls for a more holistic approach communication. order support critical foresight agenda, suggest incorporating ‘adaptive governance’ principles decenter focal concerns on mitigation short-term security threats, critics argue can also lead other unforeseen dangers. Finally, welcome further interdisciplinary inquiry into constitution use high uncertainty.