Distinguishing random and deterministic systems: Abridged version

作者: W.A Brock

DOI: 10.1016/0022-0531(86)90014-1

关键词:

摘要: Abstract This paper attempts to give a mathematically precise version of recent tests on an observed time series {at} for the presence low dimensional deterministic chaos. Three practical chaos are discussed: (a) correlation dimension must be low, (b) estimated largest Lyapunov exponent positive, (c) residuals linear (or nonlinear) model (for large class such models) have same and as {at}. Based (a)-(c) evidence in post war II, U.S. quarterly real GNP is weak.

参考文章(32)
Ilya Prigogine, From Being To Becoming ,(1980)
R. A. Dana, P. Malgrange, The Dynamics of a Discrete Version of a Growth Cycle Model Analysing the Structure of Econometric Models. pp. 115- 142 ,(1984) , 10.1007/978-94-009-6098-5_7
Lawrence H. Summers, Lawrence H. Summers, J. Bradford DeLong, J. Bradford DeLong, J. Bradford DeLong, Are Business Cycles Symmetric Social Science Research Network. ,(1984)
Pierre Collet, Jean Pierre Eckmann, Iterated maps on the interval as dynamical systems ,(1980)
Richard H. Day, Irregular Growth Cycles The American Economic Review. ,vol. 72, pp. 406- 414 ,(2016)
William A. Brock, Asset Prices in a Production Economy Research Papers in Economics. pp. 1- 46 ,(1982)
Giancarlo Benettin, Luigi Galgani, Jean-Marie Strelcyn, Kolmogorov entropy and numerical experiments Physical Review A. ,vol. 14, pp. 2338- 2345 ,(1976) , 10.1103/PHYSREVA.14.2338
Jean-Michel Grandmont, On Endogenous Competitive Business Cycles Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems. ,vol. 53, pp. 25- 34 ,(1986) , 10.1007/978-3-642-51645-0_2
Michael J. Stutzer, Chaotic dynamics and bifurcation in a macro model Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. ,vol. 2, pp. 353- 376 ,(1980) , 10.1016/0165-1889(80)90070-6