Did We See It Coming?: State Fragility, Climate Vulnerability, and the Uprisings in Syria and Egypt

摘要: This article examines how climate change, drought, environmental conditions, and natural resource management contributed to instability in Syria Egypt leading up the events of 2011. It further Failed States Index Notre Dame Global Adaptation as two popular indices predictive tools utilized by foreign policy security analysts, determine (or if) variables were well-integrated into those prior Arab uprisings. The concludes that China, Russia, years uprisings interacted with existing water food insecurities, well mismanagement, create conditions insecurity unrest countries. article’s findings also show used analysts examine state fragility likelihood fragility, respectively, did not include sufficient attention these dynamics.