'No-regret' potentials in energy conservation : an analysis of their relevance, size and determinants

摘要: I Introduction.- Subject and research questions.- 1 The debate on no-regret potentials - origin, context, issues.- 1.1 origin: climate change policy responses.- 1.1.1 International supranational 1.1.2 German background.- 1.2 relevance of beyond policy.- 1.3 Key issues in the potentials.- 1.4 Focus structure thesis.- 2 controversy.- 2.1 Definition "no-regret" 2.1.1 micro-level costs benefits.- 2.1.2 level energy system analysis.- 2.1.3 national economy.- 2.2 Characterisation conflicting views.- 2.2.1 No-regret within framework transformationcurve.- 2.2.2 isoquants.- II Theory-based for reassessment Preliminary remarks.- 3 standard theory market failure.- 3.1 Outline theoretical concepts.- 3.1.1 Externalities.- 3.1.2 Decreasing average concentration.- 3.1.3 Information deficiencies.- 3.1.3.1 Quality ignorance information asymmetries.- 3.1.3.2 Market solutions to 3.1.3.3 Ignorance utility prices.- 3.1.3.4 Uncertainty.- 3.2 Existing evidence failures related saving measures.- 3.2.1 external effects 3.2.2 failure following decreasingaverage costs.- 3.2.3 deficiencies energysaving 3.3 Conclusions Annex Chapter 3.- A.1 questions A.1.1 externalities as a reason A.1.2 decreasing A.1.3 A.1.3.1 asymmetric quality information.- A.1.3.2 A.1.3.3 uncertainty A.2 Micro-economic 4 Transaction cost economics.- 4.1 4.2 transaction 4.2.1 quantitative approach.- 4.2.2 heuristic 4.2.2.1 Asset specificity.- 4.2.2.2 Uncertainty opportunism.- 4.2.2.3 Frequency.- 4.3 Review empirical research.- 4.3.1 Exemplary TCE 4.3.2 4.3.3 toenergy 4.4 about 4: based from perspective.- A.3 5 Investment appraisal.- 5.1 Standard investment.- 5.1.1 Data investment 5.1.2 Net present value internal rate return.- 5.1.3 Choosing appropriate discount rate: Capital AssetPricing Model.- 5.1.4 Shortcomings 5.2 Real option values.- 5.2.1 concept.- 5.2.2 Alternative modes operationalisation.- 5.2.3 Strengths potential biases real valuation.- 5.3 appraisal methods studies.- 5.3.1 Underlying data revenues expenditures.- 5.3.2 Conventional criteria 5.3.3 Evaluation measures options.- 5.4 5.- evaluation.- Verify re-estimate cash flows.- Re-assessment conventional criteria.- Assessing basis theory.- Treatment taxes depreciation flow estimates.- 6 Complementary perspectives potential.- 6.1 Dynamic aspects 6.1.1 Results preceding chapters.- 6.1.2 insights diffusion.- 6.1.3 dynamic 6.2 Implications 6.2.1 benefits 6.2.2 Effectiveness instruments.- 6.2.3 evaluations 6.3 Synopsis further linkages between principal elements.- 6.4 complementary aspects.- 6: concerning perspectives.- 7 Theoretical conclusions A typology 7.1 phenomena causes 7.2 re-assessment III Empirical analyses.- methodological 8 Case study electric motors.- 8.1 an engineering 8.1.1 Motor electricity consumption patterns determinants.- 8.1.2 Technical 8.1.3 Economic 8.1.4 Summary with respect our typology.- 8.2 Re-evaluation at 8.2.1 Verification re-estimation cash-flows.- 8.2.2 8.2.2.1 NPV.- 8.2.2.2 Assessment sequential 8.2.3 (Re-) 8.2.4 Interim results regarding phenomena.- 8.3 causes.- 8.3.1 8.3.2 Diffusion 8.4 Policy initiatives promotion HEMs.- 8.4.1 design effectiveness.- 8.4.2 8.5 re-evaluation results.- 8.- motor use firm B.- Characteristics stock interview topics.- Features case base Ostertag, Landwehr,Thomas et al. 1998.- A.2.1 List interviewees study.- A.2.2 topics Decision trees NPV optimal choice.- 9 "Contracting".- 9.1 Contracting perspective advocates.- 9.1.1 residential heat contracting.- 9.1.2 Interpretation 9.2 "first level" 9.2.1 9.2.2 9.2.3 1st 9.2.3.1 Evidence Type II.- 9.2.3.2 III.- 9.2.3.3 V.- 9.2.3.4 9.3 autonomous solution (2nd level).- 9.3.1 9.3.1.1 remedy X-inefficiencies.- 9.3.1.2 utility.- 9.3.1.3 interferences diffusionmechanisms.- 9.3.1.4 excessive capital 9.3.2 cost-efficiency 9.3.2.1 Comparative undercontracting.- 9.3.2.2 Quantitative under 9.3.2.3 Impact contracting profitability 9.3.3 remedies 2nd level.- 9.3.3.1 service contracts.- 9.3.3.2 asymmetries contractor.- 9.3.3.3 ex-post behaviour ofcontracting clients.- 9.3.3.4 Reinforcements solution.- 9.4 implications 9.- critique performance residentialbuildings (re-estimation).- rental housing legislation.- A.4 projects secondary A.5 candidates.- A.6 A.6.1 Topics interviews technical experts.- A.6.2 professionals.- A.6.3 individual projects.- 10 Generalisation 10.1 Discussion findings.- 10.1.1 10.1.2 implications.- 10.1.3 From studies towards more general 10.2 Possibilities aggregation by means Panta Rhei model.- 10.2.1 General characteristics key equations.- 10.2.1.1 Energy demand households.- 10.2.1.2 production.- 10.2.1.3 turnover.- 10.2.2 "Cause"-based aggregated estimation 10.2.2.1 Price distortions non-energy inputs savingmeasures.- 10.2.2.2 X-inefficiencies side adopter.- 10.2.2.3 Mismatch governance structures.- 10.2.3 Explicit technology 10.3 Conclusion 10: features model "Panta Rhei".- regression Prices, conclusions.- Annex.- abbreviations.- tables.- figures.- References.