Nilometers, El Niño, and climate variability

作者: Elfatih A. B. Eltahir , Guiling Wang

DOI: 10.1029/1999GL900013

关键词:

摘要: Nilometers have been used for gauging the level of water in Nile river more than five millennia. The written records describing some these measurements represent longest any hydrological phenomenon. They describe interannual fluctuations flow which are closely associated with El Nino Here, we use information about long-term variability occurrences that has extracted from to test significance recent trend frequency years. We show observed years during last two decades is rather high compared statistics computed a thousand data; however similar levels activity first millennium.

参考文章(9)
Peter B. Wright, Homogenized long-period Southern Oscillation indices International Journal of Climatology. ,vol. 9, pp. 33- 54 ,(1989) , 10.1002/JOC.3370090104
Kishan N. Amarasekera, Robert F. Lee, Earle R. Williams, Elfatih A.B. Eltahir, ENSO and the natural variability in the flow of tropical rivers Journal of Hydrology. ,vol. 200, pp. 24- 39 ,(1997) , 10.1016/S0022-1694(96)03340-9
D. E. Harrison, N. K. Larkin, Darwin sea level pressure, 1876–1996: Evidence for climate change? Geophysical Research Letters. ,vol. 24, pp. 1779- 1782 ,(1997) , 10.1029/97GL01789
Gerald A Meehl, Warren M Washington, None, El Niño-like climate change in a model with increased atmospheric CO2 concentrations Nature. ,vol. 382, pp. 56- 60 ,(1996) , 10.1038/382056A0
Kevin E. Trenberth, Timothy J. Hoar, El Niño and climate change Geophysical Research Letters. ,vol. 24, pp. 3057- 3060 ,(1997) , 10.1029/97GL03092
Elfatih A. B. Eltahir, El Niño and the Natural Variability in the Flow of the Nile River Water Resources Research. ,vol. 32, pp. 131- 137 ,(1996) , 10.1029/95WR02968
Guiling Wang, Elfatih A. B. Eltahir, Use of ENSO information in medium- and long-range forecasting of the Nile floods Journal of Climate. ,vol. 12, pp. 1726- 1737 ,(1999) , 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1726:UOEIIM>2.0.CO;2
Kevin E. Trenberth, Timothy J. Hoar, The 1990-1995 El Niño-Southern Oscillation Event: Longest on Record Geophysical Research Letters. ,vol. 23, pp. 57- 60 ,(1996) , 10.1029/95GL03602
Balaji Rajagopalan, Upmanu Lall, Mark A. Cane, Anomalous ENSO Occurrences: An Alternate View* Journal of Climate. ,vol. 10, pp. 2351- 2357 ,(1997) , 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<2351:AEOAAV>2.0.CO;2