A deep dive into the modelling assumptions for biomass with carbon capture and storage (BECCS): A transparency exercise.

作者: Isabela Butnar , Pei-Hao Li , Neil Strachan , Joana Portugal Pereira , Ajay Gambhir

DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/AB5C3E

关键词:

摘要: Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) is envisaged as a critical element of most deep decarbonisation pathways compatible the Paris Agreement. Such transformational upscaling – to 3 - 7 Gt CO2/yr by 2050 requires an unprecedented technological, economic, socio-cultural political effort, along with, crucially, transparent communication between all stakeholders. Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) that underpin 1.5°C scenarios assessed IPCC have played role in building assessing narratives. However, their high-level aggregation complexity can cause them be perceived non-transparent stakeholders outside IAM community. This paper bridges this gap offering comprehensive assessment BECCS assumptions used IAMs so open wider audience. We focus on key five aspects BECCS: biomass availability, technologies, CO2 transport infrastructure, costs, system conditions which favour deployment BECCS. Through structured review, we find communicate major cost transparently. quality however fades dig deeper into modelling details. particularly true for sets technological elements such found least assumptions. also are less completeness treatment investigated, not regarding inclusion institutional-regulatory dimensions feasibility suggested IPCC. conclude practical discussion around ways increasing transparency bridge community from other disciplines, policy decision makers, financiers, public.

参考文章(78)
Vassilis Daioglou, Elke Stehfest, Birka Wicke, Andre Faaij, Detlef P van Vuuren, Projections of the availability and cost of residues from agriculture and forestry Gcb Bioenergy. ,vol. 8, pp. 456- 470 ,(2016) , 10.1111/GCBB.12285
Katherine Calvin, Marshall Wise, Page Kyle, Pralit Patel, Leon Clarke, Jae Edmonds, Trade-offs of different land and bioenergy policies on the path to achieving climate targets. Climatic Change. ,vol. 123, pp. 691- 704 ,(2014) , 10.1007/S10584-013-0897-Y
Pekka Lauri, Petr Havlík, Georg Kindermann, Nicklas Forsell, Hannes Böttcher, Michael Obersteiner, Woody biomass energy potential in 2050 Energy Policy. ,vol. 66, pp. 19- 31 ,(2014) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2013.11.033
Shinichiro Fujimori, Toshihiko Masui, Yuzuru Matsuoka, Development of a global computable general equilibrium model coupled with detailed energy end-use technology Applied Energy. ,vol. 128, pp. 296- 306 ,(2014) , 10.1016/J.APENERGY.2014.04.074
Keywan Riahi, Shilpa Rao, Volker Krey, Cheolhung Cho, Vadim Chirkov, Guenther Fischer, Georg Kindermann, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Peter Rafaj, RCP 8.5—A scenario of comparatively high greenhouse gas emissions Climatic Change. ,vol. 109, pp. 33- 57 ,(2011) , 10.1007/S10584-011-0149-Y
Joseph F. DeCarolis, Kevin Hunter, Sarat Sreepathi, The case for repeatable analysis with energy economy optimization models Energy Economics. ,vol. 34, pp. 1845- 1853 ,(2012) , 10.1016/J.ENECO.2012.07.004
Shinichiro Fujimori, Toshihiko Masui, Yuzuru Matsuoka, Gains from emission trading under multiple stabilization targets and technological constraints Energy Economics. ,vol. 48, pp. 306- 315 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.ENECO.2014.12.011
David Klein, Gunnar Luderer, Elmar Kriegler, Jessica Strefler, Nico Bauer, Marian Leimbach, Alexander Popp, Jan Philipp Dietrich, Florian Humpenöder, Hermann Lotze-Campen, Ottmar Edenhofer, The value of bioenergy in low stabilization scenarios: an assessment using REMIND-MAgPIE Climatic Change. ,vol. 123, pp. 705- 718 ,(2014) , 10.1007/S10584-013-0940-Z
Kentaro Aoki, Erwin Schmid, László Máthé, Michael Obersteiner, Florian Kraxner, Eva-Maria Nordström, Petr Havlík, Mykola Gusti, Aline Mosnier, Stefan Frank, Hugo Valin, Steffen Fritz, Sabine Fuss, Georg Kindermann, Ian McCallum, Nikolay Khabarov, Hannes Böttcher, Linda See, Global bioenergy scenarios – Future forest development, land-use implications, and trade-offs Biomass & Bioenergy. ,vol. 57, pp. 86- 96 ,(2013) , 10.1016/J.BIOMBIOE.2013.02.003
Shinichiro Fujimori, Mikiko Kainuma, Toshihiko Masui, Tomoko Hasegawa, Hancheng Dai, None, The effectiveness of energy service demand reduction: A scenario analysis of global climate change mitigation Energy Policy. ,vol. 75, pp. 379- 391 ,(2014) , 10.1016/J.ENPOL.2014.09.015