Toward a Combined Seasonal Weather and Crop Productivity Forecasting System: Determination of the Working Spatial Scale
作者： A. J. Challinor , J. M. Slingo , T. R. Wheeler , P. Q. Craufurd , D. I. F. Grimes
DOI: 10.1175/1520-0450(2003)042<0175:TACSWA>2.0.CO;2
关键词:
摘要: Abstract A methodology is presented for the development of a combined seasonal weather and crop productivity forecasting system. The first stage determination spatial scale(s) on which system could operate; this has been made case groundnut production in India. Rainfall dominant climatic determinant yield relationship between rainfall explored using data from 1966 to 1995. On all-India scale, explains 52% variance yield. subdivisional correlations vary r2 = 0.62 (significance level p < 10–4) negative correlation with 0.1 (p 0.13). structure empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis. coherent, large-scale pattern emerges both scale (∼300 km), principal component (PC) ...
harvard.edu
sci-hub.se 参考文章(67)
S M Virmani, P Singh, Agroclimatological Characteristics of the Groundnut-Growing Regions in the Semi-Arid Tropics ,(1986)
A. A. Munot, B. Parthasarathy, K. Rupa Kumar, Homogeneous Indian Monsoon rainfall: Variability and prediction Proceedings of the Indian Academy of Sciences. Earth and planetary sciences. ,vol. 102, pp. 121- 155 ,(1993) , 10.1007/BF02839187
Julia Slingo, The Indian Summer Monsoon and its Variability Beyond El Niño. pp. 103- 118 ,(1999) , 10.1007/978-3-642-58369-8_5
Kenneth J Boote, James W Jones, Gerrit Hoogenboom, None, Simulation of crop growth: CROPGRO model CRC Press. pp. 651- 692 ,(2018) , 10.1201/9781482269765-18
L. O. Mearns, W. Easterling, C. Hays, D. Marx, Comparison of Agricultural Impacts of Climate Change Calculated from High and Low Resolution Climate Change Scenarios: Part I. The Uncertainty Due to Spatial Scale Climatic Change. ,vol. 51, pp. 131- 172 ,(2001) , 10.1023/A:1012297314857
LINDA O. MEARNS, CYNTHIA ROSENZWEIG, RICHARD GOLDBERG, MEAN AND VARIANCE CHANGE IN CLIMATE SCENARIOS: METHODS, AGRICULTURAL APPLICATIONS, AND MEASURES OF UNCERTAINTY Climatic Change. ,vol. 35, pp. 367- 396 ,(1997) , 10.1023/A:1005358130291
Hallie Eakin, SEASONAL CLIMATE FORECASTING AND THE RELEVANCE OF LOCAL KNOWLEDGE Physical Geography. ,vol. 20, pp. 447- 460 ,(1999) , 10.1080/02723646.1999.10642689
Margaret Buchanan-Smith, Susanna Davies, Famine Early Warning and Response Famine early warning and response: the missing link.. pp. 1- 242 ,(1995) , 10.3362/9781780444925
Werner Stahel, Sanford Weisberg, Victor J Yohai, Werner A Stahel, Ruben H Zamar, A Procedure for Robust Estimation and Inference in Linear Regression Directions in Robust Statistics and Diagnostics. ,vol. 34, pp. 365- 374 ,(1991) , 10.1007/978-1-4612-4444-8_20
D. S. Wilks, R. L. Wilby, The weather generation game: a review of stochastic weather models Progress in Physical Geography. ,vol. 23, pp. 329- 357 ,(1999) , 10.1177/030913339902300302