Analysis of water level changes in Lake Urmia based on data characteristics and non-parametric test
作者： Farshad Fathian , Zohreh Dehghan , Saeid Eslamian
DOI: 10.1504/IJHST.2014.064398
关键词:
摘要: Lake Urmia water level has fluctuated during many years. We investigated data (annual maximum, minimum and average series in the period of 1966–2012) to evaluate changes based on long-term seasonal patterns over time, characteristics temporal change analysis. Our tools for mentioned analyses included trend decomposition using loess (STL); normality independence; point The results STL revealed a sustained decline occurring after last 1990s line confirmed it. showed that observed do not fulfil assumptions being independent identically normal-distributed. Therefore, non-parametric Pettitt’s test was applied identify an abrupt series, followed by analysis Mann-Kendall test. Results there is significant decreasing lake beginning 1996.
researchgate.net 
sci-hub.se 参考文章(35)
Diego Rybski, Jörg Neumann, A Review on the Pettitt Test Springer, Berlin, Heidelberg. pp. 202- 213 ,(2011) , 10.1007/978-3-642-14863-7_10
Henri Theil, A Rank-Invariant Method of Linear and Polynomial Regression Analysis Springer Netherlands. pp. 345- 381 ,(1992) , 10.1007/978-94-011-2546-8_20
Muhammet Bahadır, Mehmet Ali Özdemir, Climate Trend Analysis of the Level Changes of Iznik Lake in Turkey Journal of Biology and Life Science. ,vol. 2, pp. 4- 13 ,(2011)
Deepesh Machiwal, Madan Kumar Jha, Hydrologic Time Series Analysis: Theory and Practice ,(2011)
Gabriele Villarini, Francesco Serinaldi, James A. Smith, Witold F. Krajewski, On the stationarity of annual flood peaks in the continental United States during the 20th century Water Resources Research. ,vol. 45, ,(2009) , 10.1029/2008WR007645
Nicholas C. Matalas, Stochastic hydrology in the context of climate change Climatic Change. ,vol. 37, pp. 89- 101 ,(1997) , 10.1007/978-94-017-1051-0_6
Sheng Yue, Chun Yuan Wang, Applicability of prewhitening to eliminate the influence of serial correlation on the Mann‐Kendall test Water Resources Research. ,vol. 38, pp. 4-1- 4-7 ,(2002) , 10.1029/2001WR000861
Cynthia E. Sellinger, Craig A. Stow, E. Conrad Lamon, Song S. Qian, Recent water level declines in the Lake Michigan-Huron system. Environmental Science & Technology. ,vol. 42, pp. 367- 373 ,(2008) , 10.1021/ES070664+
Hossein Kakahaji, Hamed Dehghan Banadaki, Abbas Kakahaji, Abdulamir Kakahaji, Prediction of Urmia Lake Water-Level Fluctuations by Using Analytical, Linear Statistic and Intelligent Methods Water Resources Management. ,vol. 27, pp. 4469- 4492 ,(2013) , 10.1007/S11269-013-0420-2
Paulin Coulibaly, Reservoir Computing approach to Great Lakes water level forecasting Journal of Hydrology. ,vol. 381, pp. 76- 88 ,(2010) , 10.1016/J.JHYDROL.2009.11.027