Illustrative Comparison of One Utility's Coal and Nuclear Choices

作者: Ralph L. Keeney , Alan Sicherman

DOI: 10.1287/OPRE.31.1.50

关键词:

摘要: The technology choices facing an individual utility are complex decision problems. paper illustrates a method designed to assist company in making these logically consistent manner. resulting evaluation model, based on the principles of analysis, explicitly addresses complexity provide basis for and support defending before reviewers. which incorporates economic, environmental, social, safety, regulatory effects, is demonstrated using coal/nuclear choice may be faced by Utah Power Light Company near future. This analysis meant illustrative; more effort would needed gather information policy decision.

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JOHN W. PRATT, HOWARD RAIFFA, ROBERT SCHLAIFER, The Foundations of Decision under Uncertainty: An Elementary Exposition Journal of the American Statistical Association. ,vol. 59, pp. 353- 375 ,(1964) , 10.1016/B978-0-08-019605-3.50009-2