Introduction to crime forecasting

作者: Wilpen Gorr , Richard Harries

DOI: 10.1016/S0169-2070(03)00089-X

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摘要: Abstract This short paper introduces the six papers comprising Special Section on Crime Forecasting. A longer title for section could have been “Forecasting crime policy and planning decisions in support of tactical deployment police resources.” forecasting is relatively new. It has made relevant by recent criminological theories, possible information technologies including geographic systems (GIS), desirable because innovative management practices. While focused primarily component criminal justice system, provide a wide range settings models UK US jurisdictions, long- short-term horizons, univariate multivariate methods, fixed boundary versus ad hoc spatial cluster areal units space time series data. Furthermore, include several innovations forecast models, with many driven unique features problem area

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