Distortion Representation of Forecast Errors

摘要: Abstract Forecast error is decomposed into three components, termed displacement error, amplitude mid residual respectively. Displacement measures how much of the forecast can be accounted for by moving to best fit analysis. Amplitude changing displaced The combination a and an amplification called distortion. part unaccounted distortion error. must large scale, in line with basic premise that errors are described reference large-scale meteorological features. A general mathematical formalism defining distortions decomposing formulated. representation should prove useful describing skill representing th...