Missing the turn towards a low-emission path?
作者： Malte Meinshausen , Bill Hare
DOI: 10.1007/S10584-008-9486-X
关键词:
摘要: The world’s manufacturing warehouse, China, is set for a period of growth whichbrings about the biggest transformation human well-being earth has everseen. fuelled by new coal power plants in two week. Asif that weren’t enough: their kind are currently built ina country where climate protection said to be at top agenda – inGermany. And with every plant comes 40-year legacy warmer climate.With this staggering news we can begin understand why mightbe harder achieve and Sheehan (2008) issue, or Raupach et al. (2007)highlight sobering prospects steeply increasing emissions if follow thecarbon-intensive path on. related report Garnautand colleagues (Garnaut 2008) makes case Chinese economic hasbeen underestimated past likely fueled morecarbon intensive way than IPCC SRES EMF scenarios have assumed. Thebottom line, according Sheehan, global fossil CO
springer.com
harvard.edu
sci-hub.se 参考文章(6)
John Theodore Houghton, Climate change 1994 : radiative forcing of climate change and an evaluation of the IPCC IS92 emission scenarios Cambridge University Press. ,(1995)
I. G. Enting, Martin Heimann, T. M. Wigley, Future emissions and concentrations of carbon dioxide: Key ocean / atmosphere / land analyses Technical Paper CSIRO Division of Atmospheric Research (. ,vol. 31, pp. 116- ,(1994)
Michel den Elzen, Niklas Höhne, Reductions of greenhouse gas emissions in Annex I and non-Annex I countries for meeting concentration stabilisation targets Climatic Change. ,vol. 91, pp. 249- 274 ,(2008) , 10.1007/S10584-008-9484-Z
Peter Sheehan, The new global growth path: implications for climate change analysis and policy Climatic Change. ,vol. 91, pp. 211- 231 ,(2008) , 10.1007/S10584-008-9415-Z
Michael R Raupach, Gregg Marland, Philippe Ciais, Corinne Le Quéré, Josep G Canadell, Gernot Klepper, Christopher B Field, Global and regional drivers of accelerating CO2 emissions Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America. ,vol. 104, pp. 10288- 10293 ,(2007) , 10.1073/PNAS.0700609104
Ross Garnaut, The Garnaut Climate Change Review ,(2008)