FORECASTING AMERICANS' LONG-TERM ADOPTION OF CONNECTED AND

摘要: Automobile enterprises, researchers, and policymakers are interested in knowing the future of 20 connected autonomous vehicles (CAVs). To this end, study proposes a new simulation21 based framework to forecast Americans’ long-term (year 2015 2045) adoption levels CAV 22 technologies under eight different scenarios on: 5% 10% annual drops technology 23 prices; 0%, 5%, increments willingness pay (WTP); 24 changes government regulations. This simulation was calibrated with data obtained from 25 survey 2,167 Americans, order obtain their preferences for 26 household’s vehicle transaction decisions. 27 28