CLIMATIC VARIABILITY, PLANT PHENOLOGY, AND NORTHERN UNGULATES

作者: Eric Post , Nils Chr. Stenseth

DOI: 10.1890/0012-9658(1999)080[1322:CVPPAN]2.0.CO;2

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摘要: Models of climate change predict that global temperatures and precipitation will increase within the next century, with most pronounced changes occurring in northern latitudes during winter. A large-scale atmospheric phenomenon, North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), is a strong determinant both interannual variation decadal trends winter latitudes, its recent persistence one extreme phase may be substantial component increases temperatures. Hence, we investigated influences climatic variability on plant phenology ungulate population ecology by incorporating NAO statistical analyses previously published data on: (1) timing flowering plants Norway, (2) phenotypic demographic populations ungulates. We analyzed 137 time series for 13 species Norway spanning up to 50 yr (44 ± 0.5 yr, mean 1 se) 39 seri...

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