Fooled by randomness : the hidden role of chance in the markets and in life

摘要: Part I: Solon's Warning - Skewness, Asymmetry, Induction One: If You're So Rich Why Aren't You Smart? Two: A Bizarre Accounting Method Three: Mathematical Meditation on History Four: Randomness, Nonsense, and the Scientific Intellectual Five: Survival of Least Fit Can Evolution Be Fooled by Randomness? Six: Skewness Asymmetry Seven: The Problem II Eight: Too Many Millionaires Next Door Nine: It Is Easier to Buy Sell Than Fry Egg Ten: Loser Takes All On Nonlinearities Life Eleven: Randomness Our Brain: We Are Probability Blind III Twelve: Gamblers' Ticks Pigeons in a Box Thirteen: Carneades Comes Rome: Skepticism Fourteen: Bacchus Abandons Antony Epilogue: Solon Told