A coupled model for simulating spatio-temporal dynamics of land-use change: A case study in Changqing, Jinan, China

摘要: Abstract General land-use planning in China aims to allocate land use quantitatively on a temporal scale and explicitly spatial scale. Therefore, for decision-making, planners need know the specific demands under different scenarios their spatio-temporal dynamics. However, it is not easy obtain above knowledge due complex dynamic characteristics of system limitations current models taking both driving factors into consideration. To address these issues, this study coupled dynamics model (SD) conversion its effects at small regional extent (CLUE-S) simulate change Changqing District, Jinan, China. The objectives are: (1) develop SD macro-scale as whole period 1997–2005, (2) improve presentation processes based CLUE-S that will transfer from spatially explicit patterns, (3) discuss local Our results show could provide information developing scenarios, changes, growth decline urban farm land. While our have been applied plans, should note are just “scenario” conditions.