Exhaust gas temperature data prediction by autoregressive models

作者: Amar Kumar , Alka Srivastava , Nita Goel , Jon McMaster

DOI: 10.1109/CCECE.2015.7129408

关键词:

摘要: Gas turbine engine performance and health conditions are continuously assessed by exhaust gas temperature that indicate the thermal condition of engine. Analysis (EGT) data its prediction is very important for operational safety, reliability, life cycle cost power output. Autoregressive (AR) moving average (MA) techniques, either singly or in combination used modeling, validation EGT this work. Model investigated estimating percent error mean squared error. Models short long term predictions. models with small indices found to offer best performance.

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