Survival Analysis of Lung and Bronchus Cancer Patients Segmented by Demographic Characteristics

作者: Duk Bin Jun , Kyunghoon Kim

DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2527780

关键词:

摘要: We propose a Weibull mixture model considering both covariates and unobserved heterogeneity to examine how demographic variables affect individual survival times derive the annual number of deaths. analyze records patients diagnosed with lung bronchus cancer, most common cancer in United States. The result shows that diagnosis year as well age, gender, race, registry significantly times. including heterogeneity, we remove bias hazard rates provide better performance forecasting deaths than other benchmarks. Furthermore, from segmenting into several groups, specify difference between groups assess their group-specific probabilities within given period. Our study is distinctive bottom-up strategy adopted predict aggregate-level units. This makes health available two sides: public private sector. For sector, our enables more precise allocation government’s welfare budget. Also for segmentation results guidance insurance industry targeting customers specifically.

参考文章(12)
David R. Cox, Regression Models and Life-Tables Springer Series in Statistics. ,vol. 34, pp. 527- 541 ,(1992) , 10.1007/978-1-4612-4380-9_37
Norden E. Huang, Zheng Shen, Steven R. Long, Manli C. Wu, Hsing H. Shih, Quanan Zheng, Nai-Chyuan Yen, Chi Chao Tung, Henry H. Liu, The empirical mode decomposition and the Hilbert spectrum for nonlinear and non-stationary time series analysis Proceedings of The Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences. ,vol. 454, pp. 903- 995 ,(1998) , 10.1098/RSPA.1998.0193
Bjørn Møller, Harald Fekjær, Timo Hakulinen, Helgi Sigvaldason, Hans H Storm, Mats Talbäck, Tor Haldorsen, None, Prediction of cancer incidence in the Nordic countries: empirical comparison of different approaches. Statistics in Medicine. ,vol. 22, pp. 2751- 2766 ,(2003) , 10.1002/SIM.1481
Hyune-Ju Kim, Michael P. Fay, Eric J. Feuer, Douglas N. Midthune, Permutation tests for joinpoint regression with applications to cancer rates Statistics in Medicine. ,vol. 19, pp. 335- 351 ,(2000) , 10.1002/(SICI)1097-0258(20000215)19:3<335::AID-SIM336>3.0.CO;2-Z
R. C. Tiwari, K. Ghosh, A. Jemal, M. Hachey, E. Ward, M. J. Thun, E. J. Feuer, A new method of predicting US and state-level cancer mortality counts for the current calendar year. CA: A Cancer Journal for Clinicians. ,vol. 54, pp. 30- 40 ,(2004) , 10.3322/CANJCLIN.54.1.30
Huann-Sheng Chen, Kenneth Portier, Kaushik Ghosh, Deepa Naishadham, Hyune-Ju Kim, Li Zhu, Linda W. Pickle, Martin Krapcho, Steve Scoppa, Ahmedin Jemal, Eric J. Feuer, Predicting US and State-Level Cancer Counts for the Current Calendar Year: Part I – Evaluation of Temporal Projection Methods for Mortality Cancer. ,vol. 118, pp. 1091- 1099 ,(2012) , 10.1002/CNCR.27404
D. R. Cox, Regression Models and Life-Tables Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B (Methodological). ,vol. 34, pp. 187- 202 ,(1972) , 10.1111/J.2517-6161.1972.TB00899.X
T. Hakulinen, L. Tenkanen, Regression Analysis of Relative Survival Rates Applied Statistics. ,vol. 36, pp. 309- 317 ,(1987) , 10.2307/2347789
Tony Lancaster, Econometric Methods for the Duration of Unemployment Econometrica. ,vol. 47, pp. 939- 956 ,(1979) , 10.2307/1914140