Forecasting agricultural production using co-integration analysis

作者: Stilianos Alexiadis

DOI: 10.1016/J.LANDUSEPOL.2016.11.038

关键词:

摘要: A forecasting method, easily understood and applied by administrators/policy-makers, is developed in this paper. Based on a simple, but quite realistic assumption, that production given region ‘pulls’ or ‘shapes’ the volume of nationally co-integration method proposed Using data from administrative regions, empirical analysis suggests property can be used to forecast agricultural short-run.

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