Sustainability analysis for irrigation water management in the Aral Sea region

摘要: Sustainable irrigation water management should simultaneously achieve two objectives: sustaining irrigated agriculture for food security and preserving the associated natural environment. A stable relationship be maintained between these objectives now in future, while potential conflicts mitigated through appropriate practices. The Aral Sea region Central Asia is such a that most famous its conflict current status of demonstrates disaster as prime example unsustainable development. This paper presents an integrated modeling framework sustainable analysis applies it to analyze region. Based on outputs, alternative futures practice are explored found maintain practices will lead worsening environmental economic consequences. Investments infrastructure improvements (about annualized US $299 million) crop pattern change necessary sustain environment Moreover, penalty tax salt discharge less than 50 US$ per ton incentive may help address problems, having only small effect profit.