Cropland expansion as a driver of land-use change: the case of Cerrado-Caatinga transition zone in Brazil

摘要: In Brazil, forest conservation policies have centered primarily on the Amazon rainforest, given its significance to actual discussion climate change. Until 2018, and under a period of rigorous macroeconomic conditions, Brazil had successfully decreased Amazon’s deforestation by strengthening national environmental policies. On other hand, in 2015, Brazilian government institutionalized Matopiba region, placed northeast Cerrado biome. present study, we used linear spatial regression models evaluate determinant factors land-use change southwest region Piaui, among Caatinga biomes. We considered factors: distribution proportions significant temporary agricultural products. Our results show that natural vegetation represented 69.68% total area 2016. The distance roads variable does not play substantive function defining patterns (Coef. = − 0.03). found variables as ports, large proprieties size, land price significantly impact transition models. Also, study shows protected areas reduced probability (Coef. = − 0.22).