Conservation paleobiology needs phylogenetic methods

摘要: We address several central concerns of conservation paleobiology, namely, the inference geographic ranges ancestral and ancient species, changes in range under climate change, associated question inferring environmental preferences lineages how they have evolved over geological time. will show why these questions might be crucial for making better projections future change scenarios, assessing such as well comparisons between predicted observed taxa. review two major bodies literature modelling techniques, namely phylogenetic biogeography – historical lineage presence absence large, discrete regions, inferred on trees niche estimation, which utilizes comparative methods to understand temporal species niches resulting their distributions due evolution, geologic changes, climatic changes. suggest that many limitations each currently available could ameliorated by combining them, coarse-scale biogeographic history, evolution a tree, evolutionary model modern species' models are all co-estimated formal joint framework. acknowledge this goal is extremely ambitious, but it likely large payoffs, not just paleobiology even purely neobiological studies typically leave out information about relationship biogeography, thus, may often conflate non-environmental factors with estimation niches.