Endogenous Assessment of the Capacity Value of Solar PV in Generation Investment Planning Studies

作者: Francisco D. Munoz , Andrew D. Mills

DOI: 10.1109/TSTE.2015.2456019

关键词:

摘要: There exist several different reliability- and approximation-based methods to determine the contribution of solar resources toward resource adequacy. However, most these approaches require knowing in advance installed capacities both conventional generators. This is a complication since generator are actually decision variables capacity planning studies. In this paper, we study effect time resolution PV penetration using model that accounts for full distribution outages variability. We also describe modification standard deterministic enforces adequacy target through reserve margin constraint. Our numerical experiments show at least 50 days worth data necessary approximate results full-resolution with maximum error 2.5% on costs capacity. amount displaced generation decreases rapidly as increases. find an exogenously defined constant value based time-series can yield relatively accurate small levels. For higher levels, modified better captures avoided decreasing PV.

参考文章(57)
David Feldman, Galen Barbose, Robert Margolis, Mark Bolinger, Donald Chung, Ran Fu, Joachim Seel, Carolyn Davidson, Naïm Darghouth, Ryan Wiser, Photovoltaic System Pricing Trends. Historical, Recent, and Near-Term Projections, 2015 Edition Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI). ,(2015) , 10.2172/1225306
C. I. Nweke, F. Leanez, G. R. Drayton, M. Kolhe, Benefits of chronological optimization in capacity planning for electricity markets ieee international conference on power system technology. pp. 1- 6 ,(2012) , 10.1109/POWERCON.2012.6401421
M. Milligan, Methods to Model and Calculate Capacity Contributions of Variable Generation for Resource Adequacy Planning (IVGTF1-2) Presented at the Joint NERC-UWIG Workshop, 12 April 2011, Kansas City, Missouri; Related Information: NREL (National Renewable Energy Laboratory). ,(2011)
K. Branker, M.J.M. Pathak, J.M. Pearce, A Review of Solar Photovoltaic Levelized Cost of Electricity Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews. ,vol. 15, pp. 4470- 4482 ,(2011) , 10.1016/J.RSER.2011.07.104
Francisco D. Munoz, Jean-Paul Watson, Benjamin F. Hobbs, Optimizing Your Options: Extracting the Full Economic Value of Transmission When Planning Under Uncertainty The Electricity Journal. ,vol. 28, pp. 26- 38 ,(2015) , 10.1016/J.TEJ.2015.05.002
Roy Billinton, Ronald N. Allan, Reliability Evaluation of Power Systems ,(2006)
William E Hart, Carl D Laird, Jean-Paul Watson, David L Woodruff, Gabriel A Hackebeil, Bethany L Nicholson, John D Siirola, Pyomo - Optimization Modeling in Python ,(2012)
W. Short, P. Sullivan, T. Mai, M. Mowers, C. Uriarte, N. Blair, D. Heimiller, A. Martinez, Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) National Renewable Energy Laboratory (U.S.). ,(2011) , 10.2172/1031955