作者: Sidney Katz , Laurence G. Branch , Michael H. Branson , Joseph A. Papsidero , John C. Beck
DOI: 10.1056/NEJM198311173092005
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摘要: This study was designed to demonstrate the feasibility of forecasting functional health for elderly. Using life-table techniques, we analyzed expected remaining years well-being, in terms activities daily living, noninstitutionalized elderly people living Massachusetts 1974. The years, or active life expectancy, showed a decrease, from 10 those aged 65 70 2.9 85 older. Active expectancy shorter poor than others, and women had longer average duration dependence men. measure provides important information about at given population level, other death. can be used actuarial purposes planning policy making. It is also useful identifying high-risk populations which preventive care medical compress morbidity during last life.