How Much Will Health Coverage Cost? Future Health Spending Scenarios in Brazil, Chile, and Mexico

摘要: As Latin American countries seek to expand the coverage and benefits provided by their health systems under a global drive for universal (UHC), decisions taken today – whether government or individuals will have an impact tomorrow on public spending requirements. To understand implications of these define needed policy reforms, this paper calculates long-term projections in three countries, analyzing different scenarios related population, risk factors, labor market participation, technological growth. In addition, simulates effects options potential knock-on expenditure. Without reforms aimed at expanding policies programs prevent disease enhancing efficiency systems, we find that likely grow considerably not-distant future. These projected increases may not be critical situation if revenues productivity other areas economy maintain historical trends. However, do continue grow, keeping share GDP spent constant despite growing demand certainly affect quality access services. Long-term fiscal are essential component planning sustainable expansions America.