Cytologic screening for cancer of the uterine cervix in Sweden evaluated by identification and simulation.

摘要: Parameters characterising the progression of cervical neoplasia were estimated from population-based cancer and mortality statistics in Sweden for 1958-1981 by means a dynamic computer model. Proceeding that model these data, incidence prevalence curves constructed, effects extensive cytological screening measures introduced during 1960s assessed, future gains due to already undertaken up 1981 could be simulated. About 4,000 cases situ diagnosed annually after end 1960s, most them women born later than 1919. The maximum reduction number invasive cancers was 42% 1919-1923, but increased progressively birth cohorts reached 69% those 1934-1938. corresponding rates same magnitude. will ultimately result about 12,500 deaths this disease 4,100. Only part total gain lives saved had been revealed at study period 1981.