A Theory of Firm Characteristics and Stock Returns: The Role of Investment-Specific Shocks

作者: Leonid Kogan , Dimitris Papanikolaou

DOI: 10.3386/W17975

关键词:

摘要: We provide a theoretical model linking firm characteristics and expected returns. The key ingredient of our is technological shocks embodied in new capital (IST shocks), which affect the profitability investments. Firms' exposure to IST endogenously determined by fraction value due growth opportunities. In structural model, several - Tobin's Q, past investment, earnings-price ratios, market betas, idiosyncratic volatility stock returns help predict share opportunities firm's value, are therefore correlated with risk premia. Our calibrated replicates: i) predictability characteristics; ii) comovement on firms similar iii) failure CAPM price portfolio sorted iv) time-series aggregate investment valuation ratios; v) downward sloping term structure premia for dividend strips. delivers testable predictions about behavior firm-level real variables output that supported data.

参考文章(49)
Joao Gomes, Leonid Kogan, Lu Zhang, Equilibrium Cross Section of Returns Journal of Political Economy. ,vol. 111, pp. 693- 732 ,(2003) , 10.1086/375379
Motohiro Yogo, Leonid Kogan, Joao F. Gomes, Durability of Output and Expected Stock Returns Social Science Research Network. ,(2009)
R. Sh. Lipt︠s︡er, Alʹbert Nikolaevich Shiri︠a︡ev, Statistics of random processes ,(1977)
M. A. KING, M. H. ROBSON, INVESTMENT AND TECHNICAL PROGRESS Oxford Review of Economic Policy. ,vol. 8, pp. 43- 56 ,(1992) , 10.1093/OXREP/8.4.43
Hengjie Ai, Dana Kiku, Growth to value: Option exercise and the cross section of equity returns Journal of Financial Economics. ,vol. 107, pp. 325- 349 ,(2013) , 10.1016/J.JFINECO.2012.08.009
Stephen A Ross, The arbitrage theory of capital asset pricing Journal of Economic Theory. ,vol. 13, pp. 341- 360 ,(1976) , 10.1016/0022-0531(76)90046-6
Sheridan Titman, K.C. John John Wei, Feixue Xie, Capital Investments and Stock Returns Social Science Research Network. ,(2003) , 10.2139/SSRN.268538
Hengjie Ai, Mariano Massimiliano Croce, Kai Li, Toward a Quantitative General Equilibrium Asset Pricing Model with Intangible Capital Social Science Research Network. ,(2012) , 10.2139/SSRN.1571330