Modelling renewable energy impact on the electricity market in India

摘要: Renewable power generation development, most notably for wind and solar, has taken off at a rapid pace in India especially the last 4 years. While these developments have many positive aspects, shift balance of baseload intermittent must be assessed carefully to ensure share renewable increases without compromising system security economics. Seasonal spatial variability wind, lesser extent that can render resources low availability significant part year leading an increase unserved energy, i.e., deteriorate reliability. The intermittency also impacts on inter-state flows lead higher congestion grid. Climate model results provide rich set information nature solar/wind embedded electricity market simulation tool assess prices, dispatch flows. We developed modelling analysis Indian national informed by CSIRO climate results. added costs arising from put perspective true benefits power. focused near-term 2017 show how some high growth scenarios included National Electricity Plan may imply pressure inter-state/region transfer capability, worsening outcome our suggests more orderly balanced development conventional capacity is needed with stronger focus economics security.