Agent-Based Socio-Hydrological Modeling for Restoration of Urmia Lake: Application of Theory of Planned Behavior
作者： Parsa Pouladi , Abbas Afshar , Mohammad Hadi Afshar , Amir Molajou , Hamid Farahmand
DOI: 10.1016/J.JHYDROL.2019.06.080
关键词:
摘要: Abstract This study proposes a novel socio-hydrological modeling framework for assessing the performance of complex water resources systems. It employs and integrates agent-based (ABM) theory planned behavior (TPB) into to account agents’ behaviors. Due farmers’ major role in anthropogenic droughts, this paper mainly focuses on behavior. The TPB behavioral rules ABM are structured based data obtained from field questionnaires interviews by farmers Zarrineh River Basin as main river feeding Urmia Lake. proposed framework, including structures rules, validated comparing results simulation model with actual period. To assess ability root mean square error (RMSE) determination coefficient (DC) were computed. show acceptable RMSE = 0.18 DC = 0.92. Analysis indicates that financial conditions, farmland size, age, education among factors decision-making process, respectively.
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