Toward Better Intraseasonal and Seasonal Prediction: Verification and Evaluation of the NOGAPS Model Forecasts

摘要: Abstract : The long-term goals of this project are to understand the key physical processes for realistic simulation and skillful prediction MJO improve intraseasonal seasonal skills NAVGEM model. Intraseasonal provides important information decision-making resource management, has received increased attention in recent years. Despite substantial progress numerical modeling past few decades, remains a challenge many models. Verification evaluation model forecasts can offer users necessary on predictive uncertainties, provide development teams with useful improvements.