Definition of a Fire Behavior Model Evaluation Protocol: A Case Study Application to Crown Fire Behavior Models
作者： Ronald H. Wakimoto , Miguel G. Cruz , Martin E. Alexander
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摘要: Model evaluation should be a component of the model development pro- cess, leading to better understanding behavior and an increase in its credibility. In this paper protocol is proposed that encompasses five aspects: (1) conceptual validity, (2) data requirements for valida- tion, (3) sensitivity analysis, (4) predictive validation (incorporating statistical tests), (5) comparison. The was applied evaluate fire be- havior models were developed predict crown initiation spread with potential application management decision support systems. highlighted limitations distinct specific implications such when applying those decision-making. identified through these re- sults helped authors characterize deficiencies state-of-knowledge determinant processes involved behavior, thereby identifying pertinent research needs.
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