Long-range dependence in returns and volatility of Central European Stock Indices

作者: Ladislav Kristoufek

DOI:

关键词:

摘要: In the paper, we research on presence of long-range dependence in returns and volatility BUX, PX WIG between years 1997 2009 with use classical modified rescaled range. Moving block bootstrap pre-whitening postblackening is used for construction confidence intervals hypothesis testing. We show that there no significant all examined indices. However, detected three The results are contradictory several studies which claim developing markets persistent. majority these either do not at or only ones based standard normal distribution. Therefore, such should be reexamined reinterpreted.

参考文章(30)
Ladislav Krištoufek, Classical and modified rescaled range analysis: Sampling properties under heavy tails Research Papers in Economics. ,(2009)
Anil K. Bera, Carlos M. Jarque, Efficient tests for normality, homoscedasticity and serial independence of regression residuals Economics Letters. ,vol. 7, pp. 313- 318 ,(1981) , 10.1016/0165-1765(81)90035-5
Denis Kwiatkowski, Peter C.B. Phillips, Peter Schmidt, Yongcheol Shin, Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root? Journal of Econometrics. ,vol. 54, pp. 159- 178 ,(1992) , 10.1016/0304-4076(92)90104-Y
Dariusz Grech, Zygmunt Mazur, M. Borna, STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF OLD AND NEW TECHNIQUES IN DETRENDED ANALYSIS OF TIME SERIES AcPPB. ,vol. 36, pp. 2403- ,(2005)
Dongin Lee, Peter Schmidt, On the power of the KPSS test of stationarity against fractionally-integrated alternatives Journal of Econometrics. ,vol. 73, pp. 285- 302 ,(1996) , 10.1016/0304-4076(95)01741-0
Daniel O. Cajueiro, Benjamin M. Tabak, Long-range dependence and multifractality in the term structure of LIBOR interest rates Physica A-statistical Mechanics and Its Applications. ,vol. 373, pp. 603- 614 ,(2007) , 10.1016/J.PHYSA.2006.04.110
Fabrizio Lillo, J. Doyne Farmer, The Long Memory of the Efficient Market Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics. ,vol. 8, pp. 1- 35 ,(2004) , 10.2202/1558-3708.1226
Robert J Tibshirani, Bradley Efron, An introduction to the bootstrap ,(1993)
Daniel O. Cajueiro, Benjamin M. Tabak, The rescaled variance statistic and the determination of the Hurst exponent Mathematics and Computers in Simulation. ,vol. 70, pp. 172- 179 ,(2005) , 10.1016/J.MATCOM.2005.06.005